Macro context

Stress-test your household cash buffer

Enter income, savings, essential costs and a shock scenario to estimate a cash-buffer gap. The calculator uses your inputs and published assumptions; macro indicators are shown separately for context.

PPO/HMO coverage and unemployment benefits are illustrative assumptions. Check your actual policy and benefits; this is an educational estimate.

US Kill Line Calculator

Enter income, savings, essential costs and a shock scenario to estimate a cash-buffer gap. The calculator uses your inputs and published assumptions; macro indicators are shown separately for context.

Tip: switch scenarios to see what hurts you most.

Zone

Red zone

Baseline cash runway (days): 94 days

Cash-buffer coverage

37/100

Optional: add debt for a more accurate essential outflow.

Result

Estimated buffer needed: $40,840

Distance to the line: -$25,840

Top risk driver: Medical out-of-pocket

Adjust the scenario assumptions in the full calculator.

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What is the US Kill Line?

Enter income, savings, essential costs and a shock scenario to estimate a cash-buffer gap. The calculator uses your inputs and published assumptions; macro indicators are shown separately for context.

Your budget

Enter take-home income, accessible savings, essential costs and debt payments.

Explainable scenarios

Test job loss, medical bills, essential-cost increases, or a combination.

Cash-buffer breakdown

See the base buffer and the selected shock costs, with a clear surplus or shortfall.

Share a scenario

Copy a link containing your inputs so someone else can reproduce the calculation.

In the News

Latest coverage & primary sources

A curated set of links related to US Kill Line—plus primary datasets used for analysis. Neutral tone, no sensationalism.

See all news

Timeline

JOLTS release for December 2025

Job openings, hires, and quits provide labor-demand context for household risk.

ECI Q4 2025 release

Wage and benefit cost growth helps interpret real wage pressure.

NY Fed household debt snapshot

Quarterly debt and delinquency trends add credit-stress context.

Jobs report for January 2026

Employment data anchors job-risk and income momentum assumptions.

CPI and real earnings release (scheduled)

Inflation and real wage updates refresh the price-pressure side of the model.

Links are provided for context and education. Dates follow official release calendars and may be revised. US Kill Line is informational and not financial advice.

Macro Snapshot

Macro context

FRED indicators provide economic context. They do not change the household calculation. Each value shows its observation date.

Updated: 2026-10-15

Open dashboard
Unemployment

2026-09-01

Source
4.2%
+0.1 pp
Policy rate

2026-09-01

Source
3.75%
+0.12 pp
Mortgage 30Y

2026-10-15

Source
7.40%
0.00 pp
CPI (YoY)

2026-09-01

Source
4.0%
+0.3 pp
Wage growth (YoY)

2026-09-01

Source
3.0%
-0.1 pp
Savings rate

2026-08-01

Source
4.1%
-0.5 pp

These signals provide context and are not financial advice.

US Kill Line features

Enter income, savings, essential costs and a shock scenario to estimate a cash-buffer gap. The calculator uses your inputs and published assumptions; macro indicators are shown separately for context.

Your budget

Enter take-home income, accessible savings, essential costs and debt payments.

Explainable scenarios

Test job loss, medical bills, essential-cost increases, or a combination.

Cash-buffer breakdown

See the base buffer and the selected shock costs, with a clear surplus or shortfall.

Share a scenario

Copy a link containing your inputs so someone else can reproduce the calculation.

Macro context

View inflation, unemployment and interest-rate series from FRED separately.

Browser storage

Use the calculator without an account; inputs are saved locally in your browser.

Methodology & FAQ

Quick answers about the US Kill Line calculator, data sources, and how to interpret results. Questions? Email support@uskillline.com.










Run the US Kill Line Calculator

Enter your income, liquid assets, fixed costs, and a stress scenario to estimate your buffer, zone, and distance to the US Kill Line (education only).